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Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in South Darfur State, Sudan

Received: 1 October 2025     Accepted: 13 October 2025     Published: 16 January 2026
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Abstract

This study was conducted in South Darfur State (SDS) during 2019 with aim to assessing climate change vulnerability by using the INDVI and Aridity Index (AI) to study the impact of climate change on forestry and range species. Three methods used were: (1) Remote sensing method to estimate INDVI and aridity index (AI), (2) Focus group discussion and (3) Key informant interview (KII). According to MODIST and LAND SAT-8 data the results from vulnerability assessment showed that 0.003% of Beliel locality is highly vulnerable, 13.5% is moderate vulnerable, 13.5% is slight vulnerable, while 63.8% from the total area are non-vulnerable. For Mershing locality 48% of the locality is highly vulnerable, 32% moderately vulnerable and 20% as slight vulnerable. In Gereida locality the result showed that most of the locality (82.3%) is non-vulnerable, while only 17.7% from the total area is slightly vulnerable. The main field crops in the targeted localities are Sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench), groundnut (Arachis hypogeal), millet (Pennisetumglaucum), okra (Abelmoschusesculentus), cowpea (vignaunguiculata), sesame (Sesamumindicum), maize (Zea mays), roselle (Hibiscus sabdariffa) and other vegetable crops. Crop production constrains include; low and erratic rainfall, poor soil fertility, lack of extension services, and poor crop genetic stock. The main tree species in the study area are Adansoniadigitata, Acacia melleifera, Acacia radiana, Hyphaenethebaica, Cliotropesprocera, Acacia nubica, Balanitesaegyptiaca, Ziziphusspina-christia, Acacia nilotica, Ficusglumosa, Tamarindusindica, Sclerocaryabirrea, Hyphaenethebaica and Acacia senegal. Theconstrains forest sector the absence of alternative source of energy, poverty, violent-conflict, overgrazing, population growth, climate change, mismanagement, gold mining and Agriculture & urban expansion these represent major factors among others that lead to forest degradation. The results showed that the palatable range species are decreasing compared with the previous seasons. The main constrains for range land improvement and animal production in the targeted villages are, unavailability of vaccines, expansion of the cultivated land, scarcity of water for animals and human consumption, tribe conflict and armed robbers. Therefore, the general recommendation for the targeted localities can be summarized in use of improved varieties for field and horticultural crops, improved water harvesting and spreading technologies, improved crop storage, establishment of community forests and nurseries and alternative energy sources. Furthermore, climate change could accelerate the spread of malaria, yellow fever and cholera. Although the provision of basic health services and health education will be a necessary element to adaptation.

Published in American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics (Volume 12, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11
Page(s) 1-15
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2026. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Climate Change, Sudan, Agriculture, Forestry, Beliel, Mershing, Gereida, South Darfur Localities

References
[1] Abdi, A. H., Warsame, A. A., & Sheik-Ali, I. A. (2023). Modelling the impacts of climate change on cereal crop production in East Africa: Evidence from heterogeneous panel cointegration analysis. Environmental Science and Pollution Research International, 30(12): 1-16.
[2] Adam, A. A. (1998). Ecological Aspects and Dynamics of Selected Woody Plant Formation in Jebel Marra Mountains, Darfur-SUDAN.
[3] Akbar, M., Noor, F., Ahmad, I., &Sattar, A. (2018). Impact of energy consumption and CO2 emissions on food production in Pakistan: An econometric analysis. Pakistan Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 55(2): 455-461.
[4] Alaaeldein AbdelrahmanYousif (2017). Ecological and Social impacts of Darfur war. A case Study Thur Natural Forest - Jabel Marra Central Darfur State - Sudan. M. S.c Thesis, College of Natural Resource and Environmental Studies.
[5] Elamin, M. E., Musa, H. and ErRahil, I. (2009) Reconciling the Trade-Offs between Domestic Demand and Export Market: The Case of Sudan Dry Land Agriculture. Published under the Book of Economics of the Resource Use and Farming Systems Development in the Middle East and EAST AFRICA. Margraf Publishers GmbH, Germany.
[6] Elbashier, A. and Hamid, F. (2008) the Role of Agriculture in Poverty Reduction and Food Security in the Sudan. An IFAD-Funded Study Draft Report Prepared for Ministry of Finance and National Economy.
[7] EPA (United States Environmental Protection Agency) (2025). Climate change impacts on agriculture and food supply.
[8] FAO (2020). The state of food security and nutrition in the world 2020. Transforming food systems for affordable healthy diets. Food and Agriculture Organization.
[9] FAO 2017. Study on small-scale family farming in the Near East and North Africa region. Focus country: Sudan. Rome: FAO.
[10] Manucharyan, M. (2025). Climate change impacts on sustainable agriculture: Evidence from Armenia. Unconventional Resources, 6: 100159.
[11] NAPA, 2016. National Adaptation Plan. Republic of the Sudan, Ministry of Environment and Physical Development, Higher Council for Environment and Natural Resources, Khartoum.
[12] NAPA. 2007. National Adaptation programme of Action. Republic of the Sudan, Ministry of Environment and Physical Development, Higher Council for Environment and Natural Resources, Khartoum.
[13] NBSAP. 2004. Sudan National biodiversity Strategy and Action plan. Ministry of Environment and Tourism, Higher Council for Environment and Natural Resources, UNDP and IUCN.
[14] North Kordofan State NAP Committee, 2013. North Kordofan State NAP Report on Assessment of Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Options and Strategies.
[15] UNEP (Ed.). (2020). Sudan First State of Environment and Outlook Report 2020.
[16] UNICE. 2024. Humanitarian Situation Report No 23.
[17] UNICE. 2022. Humanitarian Situation in South Darfur.
[18] Yousif, A. Abdelrahman. (2023). Forest Crises in Darfur decreasing Afforestation:
[19] Zakieldeen, SA. 2007. Vulnerability in Sudan. tiempo bulletin 62. Online bulletin at:
[20] ZOA 2018. Sustainable integrated development approach, project document, NSU1042.
Cite This Article
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    Elkhidir, H. A. M., Fadul, K. E. M., Elamin, E. M., Lazim, A. M. M., Khatir, A. A., et al. (2026). Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in South Darfur State, Sudan. American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics, 12(1), 1-15. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11

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    ACS Style

    Elkhidir, H. A. M.; Fadul, K. E. M.; Elamin, E. M.; Lazim, A. M. M.; Khatir, A. A., et al. Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in South Darfur State, Sudan. Am. J. Biol. Environ. Stat. 2026, 12(1), 1-15. doi: 10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11

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    AMA Style

    Elkhidir HAM, Fadul KEM, Elamin EM, Lazim AMM, Khatir AA, et al. Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in South Darfur State, Sudan. Am J Biol Environ Stat. 2026;12(1):1-15. doi: 10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11,
      author = {Hatim Abdalla Mohammed Elkhidir and Kamal Eldin Mohammed Fadul and Eltighani Mirghani Elamin and Ahmed Mohammed Musftafa Lazim and Abdelrahman Ahmed Khatir and Bushra Meheissi and Fadwa Hassan Ibrahim and Dirdiri Hassan Mahmoud and Sona Mohammed Fadul},
      title = {Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in South Darfur State, Sudan},
      journal = {American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics},
      volume = {12},
      number = {1},
      pages = {1-15},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajbes.20261201.11},
      abstract = {This study was conducted in South Darfur State (SDS) during 2019 with aim to assessing climate change vulnerability by using the INDVI and Aridity Index (AI) to study the impact of climate change on forestry and range species. Three methods used were: (1) Remote sensing method to estimate INDVI and aridity index (AI), (2) Focus group discussion and (3) Key informant interview (KII). According to MODIST and LAND SAT-8 data the results from vulnerability assessment showed that 0.003% of Beliel locality is highly vulnerable, 13.5% is moderate vulnerable, 13.5% is slight vulnerable, while 63.8% from the total area are non-vulnerable. For Mershing locality 48% of the locality is highly vulnerable, 32% moderately vulnerable and 20% as slight vulnerable. In Gereida locality the result showed that most of the locality (82.3%) is non-vulnerable, while only 17.7% from the total area is slightly vulnerable. The main field crops in the targeted localities are Sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench), groundnut (Arachis hypogeal), millet (Pennisetumglaucum), okra (Abelmoschusesculentus), cowpea (vignaunguiculata), sesame (Sesamumindicum), maize (Zea mays), roselle (Hibiscus sabdariffa) and other vegetable crops. Crop production constrains include; low and erratic rainfall, poor soil fertility, lack of extension services, and poor crop genetic stock. The main tree species in the study area are Adansoniadigitata, Acacia melleifera, Acacia radiana, Hyphaenethebaica, Cliotropesprocera, Acacia nubica, Balanitesaegyptiaca, Ziziphusspina-christia, Acacia nilotica, Ficusglumosa, Tamarindusindica, Sclerocaryabirrea, Hyphaenethebaica and Acacia senegal. Theconstrains forest sector the absence of alternative source of energy, poverty, violent-conflict, overgrazing, population growth, climate change, mismanagement, gold mining and Agriculture & urban expansion these represent major factors among others that lead to forest degradation. The results showed that the palatable range species are decreasing compared with the previous seasons. The main constrains for range land improvement and animal production in the targeted villages are, unavailability of vaccines, expansion of the cultivated land, scarcity of water for animals and human consumption, tribe conflict and armed robbers. Therefore, the general recommendation for the targeted localities can be summarized in use of improved varieties for field and horticultural crops, improved water harvesting and spreading technologies, improved crop storage, establishment of community forests and nurseries and alternative energy sources. Furthermore, climate change could accelerate the spread of malaria, yellow fever and cholera. Although the provision of basic health services and health education will be a necessary element to adaptation.},
     year = {2026}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Impact of Climate Change Vulnerability on Agriculture, Forestry, Water Resources and Range Land in South Darfur State, Sudan
    AU  - Hatim Abdalla Mohammed Elkhidir
    AU  - Kamal Eldin Mohammed Fadul
    AU  - Eltighani Mirghani Elamin
    AU  - Ahmed Mohammed Musftafa Lazim
    AU  - Abdelrahman Ahmed Khatir
    AU  - Bushra Meheissi
    AU  - Fadwa Hassan Ibrahim
    AU  - Dirdiri Hassan Mahmoud
    AU  - Sona Mohammed Fadul
    Y1  - 2026/01/16
    PY  - 2026
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11
    T2  - American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics
    JF  - American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics
    JO  - American Journal of Biological and Environmental Statistics
    SP  - 1
    EP  - 15
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2471-979X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajbes.20261201.11
    AB  - This study was conducted in South Darfur State (SDS) during 2019 with aim to assessing climate change vulnerability by using the INDVI and Aridity Index (AI) to study the impact of climate change on forestry and range species. Three methods used were: (1) Remote sensing method to estimate INDVI and aridity index (AI), (2) Focus group discussion and (3) Key informant interview (KII). According to MODIST and LAND SAT-8 data the results from vulnerability assessment showed that 0.003% of Beliel locality is highly vulnerable, 13.5% is moderate vulnerable, 13.5% is slight vulnerable, while 63.8% from the total area are non-vulnerable. For Mershing locality 48% of the locality is highly vulnerable, 32% moderately vulnerable and 20% as slight vulnerable. In Gereida locality the result showed that most of the locality (82.3%) is non-vulnerable, while only 17.7% from the total area is slightly vulnerable. The main field crops in the targeted localities are Sorghum (Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench), groundnut (Arachis hypogeal), millet (Pennisetumglaucum), okra (Abelmoschusesculentus), cowpea (vignaunguiculata), sesame (Sesamumindicum), maize (Zea mays), roselle (Hibiscus sabdariffa) and other vegetable crops. Crop production constrains include; low and erratic rainfall, poor soil fertility, lack of extension services, and poor crop genetic stock. The main tree species in the study area are Adansoniadigitata, Acacia melleifera, Acacia radiana, Hyphaenethebaica, Cliotropesprocera, Acacia nubica, Balanitesaegyptiaca, Ziziphusspina-christia, Acacia nilotica, Ficusglumosa, Tamarindusindica, Sclerocaryabirrea, Hyphaenethebaica and Acacia senegal. Theconstrains forest sector the absence of alternative source of energy, poverty, violent-conflict, overgrazing, population growth, climate change, mismanagement, gold mining and Agriculture & urban expansion these represent major factors among others that lead to forest degradation. The results showed that the palatable range species are decreasing compared with the previous seasons. The main constrains for range land improvement and animal production in the targeted villages are, unavailability of vaccines, expansion of the cultivated land, scarcity of water for animals and human consumption, tribe conflict and armed robbers. Therefore, the general recommendation for the targeted localities can be summarized in use of improved varieties for field and horticultural crops, improved water harvesting and spreading technologies, improved crop storage, establishment of community forests and nurseries and alternative energy sources. Furthermore, climate change could accelerate the spread of malaria, yellow fever and cholera. Although the provision of basic health services and health education will be a necessary element to adaptation.
    VL  - 12
    IS  - 1
    ER  - 

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