Encompassing tests compare two non-nested competing models to determine whether one model contains all the relevant information captured by the other. They were developed based on the assumption of independence, particularly in cases involving parametric and non-parametric regression methods. However, this assumption is too restrictive since econometric dynamic models and time series rarely exhibit perfect independence. One challenge would be extending results for i.i.d. variables to dependent processes. We are interested in the φ-mixing dependence measure because of its properties, such as the fast decay rate. Consequently, the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) was previously obtained under significantly weaker mild conditions than those required for other mixing notions. This leads to better asymptotic behavior propreties for test statistics, despite practical constraints of the φ-mixing condition compared to weaker dependence measures. We examine the encompassing test for linear parametric and nonparametric nearest neighbor regression methods for φ-mixing processes. We establish the asymptotic normality of the encompassing statistics associated with the encompassing hypotheses. Our results are comparable to those obtained using popular methods in the literature, such as kernel regression. We achieve convergence rates of order k−1/2 for the tests related to the nonparametric as rival model, and n−1/2 for the parametric as rival model. These rates are the same as in the i.i.d. case. The asymptotic variances of the tests are well-defined due to the fast decay of the φ-mixing coefficients. Unlike many tests with nonparametric regression methods, ours do not depend on any density.
| Published in | Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Volume 14, Issue 1) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14 |
| Page(s) | 27-36 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2026. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Encompassing Test, Functional Parameter, φ-mixing Condition, Nearest Neighbor Regression, Asymptotic Normality
| [1] | Bontemps, C., J. P. Florens and J. F. Richard (2008), “Parametric and non-parametric encompassing procedures”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 70, 751-780. |
| [2] | Bontemps, C. and G. E. Mizon (2008). “Encompassing: concepts and implementation”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 70, 721-750. |
| [3] | Bosq, D. (1998), “Nonparametric Statistics for Stochastic Processes: Estimation and Prediction”, Lecture Notes in Statistics, Springer-Verlag, 2nd eds, Berlin. |
| [4] | Bradley, R. C. (2005), “Basic properties of strong mixing conditions: a survey and some open questions”, Probability Surveys 2, 107-144. |
| [5] | Carrasco, M. and X. Chen (2002), “Mixing and moment properties of various GARCH and Stochastic Volatility models”, Econometric Theory 18, 17-39. |
| [6] | Cheng, P. E. (1984), “Strong consistency of nearest neighbor regression function estimators”, Journal of Multivariate Analysis 15, 63-72. |
| [7] | Davydov Y. A. (1974), “ Mixing conditions for Markov chains”, Theory Probab. Appl. 18, 312-328. |
| [8] | De Bin, R., Janitza, S., Sauerbrei, W., Boulesteix, A. L.(2016). Subsampling versus bootstrapping in resampling-based model selection for multivariable regression. Biometrics, 72(1), 272-280. |
| [9] | Dedecker, J., and Prieur, C. (2005). New dependence coefficients. Examples and applications to statistics. Probability Theory and Related Fields, 132(2), 203-236. |
| [10] | Dedecker, J., Merlevède, F., and Rio, E. (2024). Deviation inequalities for dependent sequences with applications to strong approximations. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 174, 104377. |
| [11] | Dehling, H. and Wendler, M. (2010). Central limit theorem and the bootstrap for U-statistics of strongly mixing data. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 101(1),126- 137. |
| [12] | Doukhan, P. (1994), “Mixing: properties and examples”, Lecture Notes in Statistics 85, Springer Verlag. |
| [13] | Florens, J. P., D. F. Hendry and J. F. Richard (1996), “Encompassing and specificity”, Econometric Theory 12,620- 656. |
| [14] | Gouriéroux, C. and A. Monfort (1995), “Testing, encompassing, and simulating dynamic econometric models”, Econometric Theory 11, 195-228. |
| [15] | Gouriéroux, C., A. Monfort and A. Trognon (1983), “Testing nested or non-nested hypotheses”, Journal of Econometrics 21, 83-115. |
| [16] | Govaerts, B., D. F. Hendry and J. F. Richard (1994), “Encompassing in stationary linear dynamic models”, Journal of Econometrics 63, 245-270. |
| [17] | Guégan, D. and N. Huck (2005), “On the use of nearest neighbors in finance”, Revue de Finance 26, 67-86. |
| [18] | Guégan, D. and P. Rakotomarolahy (2009), “The multivariate k-nearest neighbor model for dependent variables : one-sided estimation and forecasting”, CES Working Paper, No. 2009.50. |
| [19] | Guégan, D. and P. Rakotomarolahy (2010), “A short note on the nowcasting and the forecasting of Euro-area GDP using non-parametric techniques”, Economics Bulletin 30, 508-518. |
| [20] | Guégan, D. and P. Rakotomarolahy, (2010), “ Alternative methods for forecasting GDP”, Chapter 8 in Fredj Jawadi, William A. Barnett (ed.) Nonlinear Modeling of Economic and Financial Time-Series (International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, vol. 20), Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 161-185. |
| [21] | Härdle, W. and Mammen, E. (1993). Comparing nonparametric versus parametric regression fits. The Annals of Statistics, 1926-1947. |
| [22] | Hendry, D. F. (1995), “Dynamic Econometrics”, Oxford University Press, Oxford. |
| [23] | Hendry, D. F. and J. A. Doornik (1994), “Modelling linear dynamic econometric systems”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy 41, 1-33. |
| [24] | Hendry, D. F., M. Marcellino and G. E. Mizon (2008), “Encompassing”, Special Issue: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Guest Editor Introduction. |
| [25] | Hendry, D. F. and B. Nielsen (2007), “Econometric modeling: a Likelihood Approach”, Princeton University Press, Princeton. |
| [26] | Hendry, D. F. and J. F. Richard (1989), “Recent developments in the theory of encompassing”, in CornetB. and Tulkens H. (eds), Contributions to Operations Research and Economics, The XXth Anniversary of CORE, 393-440, Cambridge. |
| [27] | Horowitz, J. L. (2019). Bootstrap methods in econometrics. Annual Review of Economics, 11(1), 193-224. |
| [28] | Hoover, K. D. and S. J. Perez (1999), “Data mining reconsidered: encompassing and the general-to-specific approach to specification search”, Econometrics Journal 2, 167-191. |
| [29] | Ibragimov, I. A. (1962), “Some limit theorems for stationary processes” Theory of Probability and Application 7, 349-382. |
| [30] | James, G., Witten, D., Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Taylor,J. (2023). Resampling methods. In An introduction to statistical learning: With applications in python (pp. 201-228). Cham: Springer International Publishing. |
| [31] | Lapenta E and P. Lavergne (2025), “ Encompassing Tests for Nonparametric Regressions” Econometric Theory 41,709- 738. |
| [32] | Mack, Y. P. (1981), “Local properties of k-NN regression estimates”, SIAM Journal on Algebraic and Discrete Methods 2, 311-323. |
| [33] | Merlevède F., Peligrad, M., and Utev, S. (2019). Functional CLT for martingale-like nonstationary dependent structures. Bernoulli, 25(4B), 3205-3225. |
| [34] | Mizon, G. E. (1984), “The encompassing approach in econometrics”, in D. F. Hendry and K. F. Wallis (eds), Econometrics and Quantitative Economics, 135-172. |
| [35] | Mizon, G. E. (2008). “Encompassing”, in BlumeL. E. and Durlauf S. N. (eds), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edn. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics Online, Palgrave Macmillan. |
| [36] | Mizon, G. E. and J. F. Richard (1986), “The encompassing principle and its application to non-nested hypothesis tests”, Econometrica 54, 657-678. |
| [37] | Mizrach, B. (1992), “Multivariate Nearest-Neighbour Forecasts of EMS Exchange Rates”, Journal of Applied Econometrics 7, Supplement: Special Issue on Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics (Dec., 1992), S151-S163. |
| [38] | Mokkadem, A. (1990), “Propriétés de mélange des modèles autoregressifs polynomiaux”, Annales de l’Institut Henri Poincaré 26, 219-260. |
| [39] | Mukerjee, H. (1993), “Nearest neighbor regression with heavy-tailed errors”, Annals of Statistics 21, 681-693. |
| [40] | Nowman, B. and B. Saltoglu (2003), “Continuous time and nonparametric modelling of U. S. interest rate models”, International Review of Financial Analysis 12, 25- 34. |
| [41] | Peligrad, M. and S. A. Utev (1997), “Central limit theorem for Linear Processes”, The Annals of Probability 25, 443-456. |
| [42] | Rakotomarolahy P. (2020), “Asymptotic behavior of encompassing test for independent processes: case of linear and nearest neighbor regressions”, Cogent Mathematics and Statistics 7, 1805092. |
| [43] | Rakotomarolahy P. (2023), ‘Asymptotic normality of the encompassing test associated to the linear parametric modelling and the kernel method for alpha mixing processes”, London Journal of Research In Science: Natural and Formal 23 (7), 11-21. |
| [44] | Rivers, D. and Vuong, Q. (2002). Model selection tests for nonlinear dynamic models. The Econometrics Journal, 5(1), 1-39. |
| [45] | Rosenblatt, M. (1956a), “A central limit theorem and a strong mixing condition”, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 42, 43-47. |
| [46] | Shao, J. (1997). An asymptotic theory for linear model selection. Statistica sinica, 221-242. |
| [47] | Sawa, T. (1978), “Information criteria for discriminating among alternative regression models”, Econometrica 46, 1273-1292. |
| [48] | Vieu, P. (1994), “On variable selection in nonparametric regression”, Computation Statistics and Data Analysis 17, 575-594. |
| [49] | Vuong, Q. H. (1989). Likelihood ratio tests for model selection and non-nested hypotheses. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 307-333. |
| [50] | Yoshihara, K. (1978). “Probability inequalities for sums of absolutely regular processes and their applications”, Zeitschrift fuer Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und Verwandte Gebiete 43, 319-329. |
| [51] | Yu, B. (1994). Rates of convergence for empirical processes of stationary mixing sequences. The Annals of Probability 22(4), 94-116. |
| [52] | White, H. (1990), “A consistent model selection”, in Granger C. W. J. (ed), Modelling Economic Series, Clarendon Press, Oxford, 369-383. |
APA Style
Rakotomarolahy, P. (2026). Encompassing Test for Non-nested Linear and Nearest Neighbor Regressions Under Mixing Conditions. Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 14(1), 27-36. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14
ACS Style
Rakotomarolahy, P. Encompassing Test for Non-nested Linear and Nearest Neighbor Regressions Under Mixing Conditions. Sci. J. Appl. Math. Stat. 2026, 14(1), 27-36. doi: 10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14
@article{10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14,
author = {Patrick Rakotomarolahy},
title = {Encompassing Test for Non-nested Linear and Nearest Neighbor Regressions Under Mixing Conditions
},
journal = {Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {27-36},
doi = {10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjams.20261401.14},
abstract = {Encompassing tests compare two non-nested competing models to determine whether one model contains all the relevant information captured by the other. They were developed based on the assumption of independence, particularly in cases involving parametric and non-parametric regression methods. However, this assumption is too restrictive since econometric dynamic models and time series rarely exhibit perfect independence. One challenge would be extending results for i.i.d. variables to dependent processes. We are interested in the φ-mixing dependence measure because of its properties, such as the fast decay rate. Consequently, the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) was previously obtained under significantly weaker mild conditions than those required for other mixing notions. This leads to better asymptotic behavior propreties for test statistics, despite practical constraints of the φ-mixing condition compared to weaker dependence measures. We examine the encompassing test for linear parametric and nonparametric nearest neighbor regression methods for φ-mixing processes. We establish the asymptotic normality of the encompassing statistics associated with the encompassing hypotheses. Our results are comparable to those obtained using popular methods in the literature, such as kernel regression. We achieve convergence rates of order k−1/2 for the tests related to the nonparametric as rival model, and n−1/2 for the parametric as rival model. These rates are the same as in the i.i.d. case. The asymptotic variances of the tests are well-defined due to the fast decay of the φ-mixing coefficients. Unlike many tests with nonparametric regression methods, ours do not depend on any density.
},
year = {2026}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Encompassing Test for Non-nested Linear and Nearest Neighbor Regressions Under Mixing Conditions AU - Patrick Rakotomarolahy Y1 - 2026/01/16 PY - 2026 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14 DO - 10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14 T2 - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics JF - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics JO - Science Journal of Applied Mathematics and Statistics SP - 27 EP - 36 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2376-9513 UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjams.20261401.14 AB - Encompassing tests compare two non-nested competing models to determine whether one model contains all the relevant information captured by the other. They were developed based on the assumption of independence, particularly in cases involving parametric and non-parametric regression methods. However, this assumption is too restrictive since econometric dynamic models and time series rarely exhibit perfect independence. One challenge would be extending results for i.i.d. variables to dependent processes. We are interested in the φ-mixing dependence measure because of its properties, such as the fast decay rate. Consequently, the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) was previously obtained under significantly weaker mild conditions than those required for other mixing notions. This leads to better asymptotic behavior propreties for test statistics, despite practical constraints of the φ-mixing condition compared to weaker dependence measures. We examine the encompassing test for linear parametric and nonparametric nearest neighbor regression methods for φ-mixing processes. We establish the asymptotic normality of the encompassing statistics associated with the encompassing hypotheses. Our results are comparable to those obtained using popular methods in the literature, such as kernel regression. We achieve convergence rates of order k−1/2 for the tests related to the nonparametric as rival model, and n−1/2 for the parametric as rival model. These rates are the same as in the i.i.d. case. The asymptotic variances of the tests are well-defined due to the fast decay of the φ-mixing coefficients. Unlike many tests with nonparametric regression methods, ours do not depend on any density. VL - 14 IS - 1 ER -